Working Papers

The Relationship Between Job Flows Across Countries: The Role of Industry, Size and Institutions (with John Haltiwanger and Stefano Scarpetta) PDF

Data used in this paper are available here in Stata 9 format. Data for transition countries are averages for 1996-2001. Data for other countries are averages for 1989-2001. The exact periods covered in each country can be found in Table A.1 in Haltiwanger, Scarpetta and Schweiger (2008). For additional clarifications contact Helena Schweiger at pic.

Latest version available as NBER Working Paper No. 13920. Previous version available as World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 4070 and IZA Working Paper No. 2450, or at SSRN.

Abstract: This paper analyzes job flows in a sample of 16 industrial and emerging economies over the past decade, exploiting a harmonized firm-level dataset. It shows that industry and firm size effects (and especially firm size) account for a large fraction in the overall variability in job flows. However, large residual differences remain in the job flow patterns across countries. To account for the latter, the paper explores the role of differences in employment protection legislation across countries. Using a difference-in-difference approach that minimizes possible endogeneity and omitted variable problems, our findings show that hiring and firing costs tend to curb job flows, particularly in those industries and firm size classes that require more frequent labor adjustment.

The Impact of State Aid for Restructuring on the Allocation of Resources PDF

Abstract: Recent empirical work has shown that the success of an economy depends largely on how successful it is in allocating inputs and outputs across businesses efficiently with minimum disruption and frictions. Market institutions that impact this allocation potentially account for productivity differences across countries. Existing studies use quite broad measures of institutions, mostly at the country level and/or using survey data with questionable representativeness. This paper is the first to use census micro level data on a market institution with a potentially very distortive effect, namely state aid for the rescue and restructuring of firms in difficulty. Such aid can postpone the exit of unprofitable firms and thus shift the burden of structural adjustment onto more efficient firms who are managing without it. We investigate the impact of this aid on static and dynamic efficiency of Slovenian manufacturing by combining the aid data with firm-level accounting data. Evaluating the impact of state aid on static and dynamic efficiency of an economy is difficult due to the lack of a counterfactual and because of selection bias. The latter arises because firms that receive aid may differ from firms that do not receive aid along other dimensions. We use treatment effects estimators that assume selection on observables (linear regression models) and estimators that explicitly allow for selection on unobservables (instrumental variables). Our identification strategy in the latter model involves using variables that affect the chances of getting aid before 2002, but not after. The empirical analysis reveals that state aid hindered the efficient static allocation of resources, as measured by the \citet{op96}-inspired micro covariance measure. None of the firms that received aid exited, aid had a positive impact on the growth rate of market shares, but did not have a significant impact on the growth of TFP. These results suggest that aid was distortive.

Impact of Changes in Wage Setting Policies on the Structure of Wages in Slovenia (with John Haltiwanger and Milan Vodopivec)PDF

Abstract: In this paper, we study the structure of wages and the importance of firm and person fixed effects in explaining the variance of log real hourly wages in Slovenia, using a longitudinal matched employer-employee database. Most significant changes in employment and wage setting policies occurred in 1991, but the incomes policies still suppressed the growth of managerial wages until 1997. We find that this change brought about a change in the wage structure, with an increase in returns to education for the most educated workers. Our results also indicate that person fixed effects account for an overwhelming majority of variation in log real hourly wages, whereas firm fixed effects are not nearly as important.

Work in Progress

Labour Market Experiences and Their Impact on Attitudes (with Simon Commander and Ermal Hitaj)

Published as a chapter in EBRD Transition Report 2007, working paper version coming soon.

Abstract: In this paper, we address the question of how individual experiences affect their views of themselves and the world (their country). Individuals in transition countries have experienced a number of changes in their professional and private lives since 1989, and there were differences across countries in terms of the start, the speed and the success of the transition process, all of which could have an impact on the individuals’ views. In addition to these macro level conditions, individuals’ views might depend on the attributes of their household and their individual attributes, such as their working status, age, gender, education, income, household structure, work/life history and the like. We use a unique Life in Transition survey (LITS) data, which allows us to exploit cross- and within-country variation and relate individuals’ objective circumstances to their views, relate their attitudes to their attributes, and explore differences between the participants and the non-participants in the labour market. Results indicate that the views of the individuals on the quality of life in 2006 compared to the quality of life in 1989 vary across countries and also within countries, which indicates that individual characteristics as described above have a role in forming individuals’ beliefs.

Worker Flows, Job Flows and Productivity Dynamics (with John Haltiwanger and Milan Vodopivec)